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	<title>Kevin Denny: Economics more-or-less</title>
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		<title>Kevin Denny: Economics more-or-less</title>
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		<title>Homophobia and sexism across Europe</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/21/homophobia-and-sexism-across-europe/</link>
		<comments>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/21/homophobia-and-sexism-across-europe/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 May 2013 20:39:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[topical stuff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[homophobia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liberalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tolerance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/?p=1951</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Homophobia is very much in the news these days as the movement to allow gay marriage gathers pace in Europe and America. In Britain, conservatives grandees like Norman Tebbit are worried about a lesbian queen producing an artificially inseminated heir &#8230; <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/21/homophobia-and-sexism-across-europe/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=kevindenny.wordpress.com&#038;blog=22156797&#038;post=1951&#038;subd=kevindenny&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Homophobia is very much in the news these days as the movement to allow gay marriage gathers pace in Europe and America. In Britain, conservatives grandees like Norman Tebbit are <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2013/may/21/tebbit-gay-marriage-lesbian-queen?CMP=twt_gu">worried about a lesbian queen </a>producing an artificially inseminated heir to the throne (seriously).The French parliament passed a bill to allow it just recently but there have been strong popular opposition. Just today a man <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/may/21/french-historian-kills-himself-notre-dame-gay-marriage">killed himself in Notre Dame Cathedral</a>, not far from where I am temporarily based, in protest. A few days ago <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/france/10065168/France-least-tolerant-country-in-Western-Europe-of-homosexuals.html">research was released</a>, based on the <em>World Values Survey</em>, that concluded that France was the country in western Europe least tolerant of homosexuals.</p>
<p>By coincidence I happen to be working on the effect of education on what I call liberal values (or tolerance) and <a href="http://www.ucd.ie/t4cms/WP11_08.pdf">early versions of this work</a> focused on homophobia, see <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2011/04/14/the-effect-of-education-on-homophobia/">here </a>and <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2012/06/03/whatever-happened-to-homophobia-the-recent-trend-in-ireland/">here</a> also. I use the <em><a href="http://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/">European Social Survey </a></em>data (spanning the period 2002-2010) which uses a different instrument to the WVS. Specifically it asks people&#8217;s agreement or otherwise (on a 5 point scale) to the statement &#8220;Gays and lesbians should be free to live life as they wish&#8221;. My other outcome is a measure of sexism based on responses, on a similar 5 point scale, to the statement &#8220;Men should have more rights to jobs than women when jobs are scarce&#8221;. I was curious to know what the pattern of responses was across countries (though my research is a micro-study using only UK and Irish data). So I plotted (see below) the cross country means (across the population) of binary measures of sexism and homophobia. The binary measures score 1 if people agree or agree strongly with the statement about gays and disagree or disagree strongly with the statement about jobs (and =0 otherwise).</p>
<p>Countries to the right of the graph are less homophobic and countries to the top are less sexist. There is a fairly strong positive correlation with Denmark and the other Nordics leading in tolerance, though Finland deviates a bit from this trend. Southern and eastern Europe is at the other extreme (especially Russia, Ukraine and Turkey). Ireland is one of a clump of western European countries that are pretty liberal on both accounts. By this data, France is not the most homophobic country in western Europe being to the right in the picture of Germany, Spain, Switzerland, Austria and certainly Greece and Italy. It shows that these cross-country patterns can be quite sensitive to measurement. It seems that there is a common tolerance factor around Europe and, most importantly, that there is huge variation in those attitudes.</p>
<p><a href="http://kevindenny.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/crosscmeans.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1952" alt="crosscmeans" src="http://kevindenny.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/crosscmeans.png?w=640"   /></a></p>
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		<title>Are economists different?</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/21/are-economists-different/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 21 May 2013 09:44:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[topical stuff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[experiments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[game theory]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[For many people, the answer to this question is a pithy &#8220;Yes&#8221;, possibly augmented by some expletives. It is an interesting and potentially important question. After all, if economists&#8217; attitudes and values are very different from the general population then &#8230; <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/21/are-economists-different/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=kevindenny.wordpress.com&#038;blog=22156797&#038;post=1947&#038;subd=kevindenny&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For many people, the answer to this question is a pithy &#8220;Yes&#8221;, possibly augmented by some expletives. It is an interesting and potentially important question. After all, if economists&#8217; attitudes and values are very different from the general population then one might be cautious about taking their advice. This in turn partly depends on whether economics is value-laden, a complex question which I&#8217;m not minded to get into. Fortunately it is possible to test, to some degree, whether economists (or their students anyway) differ from others and there are several papers that do this.</p>
<p>A good summary of some of this work by Frank, Gilovich &amp; Regan is <a href="http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/economics_frank/">here</a>. They consider a number of studies using experimental game theory to see whether economics students differ in their behaviour from other students. Using the classic Ultimatum Game and Free Rider Games one finds that, yes, economics students are more selfish or less pro-social. Another finding is that business students are more selfish (or more rational) in the Ultimatum Game than psychology students.</p>
<p>The title of the Frank <em>et al.</em> piece &#8220;Does studying economics inhibit cooperation&#8221; is misleading since, as far as I know, all that is established is a correlation. In other words, it may be the case that the people who <em>select into</em> economics or business studies were less co-operative or pro-social beforehand. This could be tested. It would also be very useful to extend this work to other groups of students (literature, science etc) as well as the non-student population. There is a separate literature looking at cross-cultural differences in experimental game theory.</p>
<p>I was reminded of this topic by a<a href="http://ftp.iza.org/dp7374.pdf"> just released paper</a> that shows that students who select into experiments only do it for the money but that those who do and those who don&#8217;t aren&#8217;t really different.</p>
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		<title>New evidence on class size effects</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/20/new-evidence-on-class-size-effects/</link>
		<comments>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/20/new-evidence-on-class-size-effects/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 12:42:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[class size]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[endogeneity]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[A paper I co-authored with Veruska Oppedisano (London Metropolitan University) has just been published in Labour Economics. Its gated (but obviously worth $31.50 of which I won&#8217;t get a red cent). Abstract This paper estimates the marginal effect of class &#8230; <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/20/new-evidence-on-class-size-effects/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=kevindenny.wordpress.com&#038;blog=22156797&#038;post=1941&#038;subd=kevindenny&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A paper I co-authored with Veruska Oppedisano (London Metropolitan University) has just been published in <a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927537113000468">Labour Economics</a>. Its gated (but obviously worth $31.50 of which I won&#8217;t get a red cent).</p>
<div>
<h2 id="section_abstract">Abstract</h2>
<p id="sp0005">This paper estimates the marginal effect of class size on educational attainment of high school students. We control for the potential endogeneity of class size in two ways using a conventional instrumental variable approach, based on changes in cohort size, and an alternative method where identification is based on restrictions on higher moments. The data is drawn from the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) collected in 2003 for the United States and the United Kingdom. Using either method or the two in conjunction leads to the conclusion that <em>increases</em> in class size lead to improvements in student&#8217;s mathematics scores. Only the results for the United Kingdom are statistically significant.</p>
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		<title>Lecturer&#8217;s fluency can make students over-confident</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/16/lecturers-fluency-can-make-students-over-confident/</link>
		<comments>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/16/lecturers-fluency-can-make-students-over-confident/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 May 2013 11:00:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[overconfidence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[teaching]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I found the study below fascinating and not just because it gives me an excuse to be less than fluent when I&#8217;m teaching. Appearances can be deceptive: instructor fluency increases perceptions of learning without increasing actual learning S K Carpenter &#8230; <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/16/lecturers-fluency-can-make-students-over-confident/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=kevindenny.wordpress.com&#038;blog=22156797&#038;post=1934&#038;subd=kevindenny&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I found the study below fascinating and not just because it gives me an excuse to be less than fluent when I&#8217;m teaching.</p>
<p><a href="http://link.springer.com/article/10.3758%2Fs13423-013-0442-z">Appearances can be deceptive: instructor fluency increases perceptions of learning without increasing actual learning </a></p>
<p>S K Carpenter et al.   <em>Psychonomic Bulletin and Review</em> May 2013</p>
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<p>The present study explored the effects of lecture fluency on students’ metacognitive awareness and regulation. Participants watched one of two short videos of an instructor explaining a scientific concept. In the <em>fluent</em> video, the instructor stood upright, maintained eye contact, and spoke fluidly without notes. In the <em>disfluent</em> video, the instructor slumped, looked away, and spoke haltingly with notes. After watching the video, participants in Experiment 1 were asked to predict how much of the content they would later be able to recall, and participants in Experiment 2 were given a text-based script of the video to study. Perceived learning was significantly higher for the fluent instructor than for the disfluent instructor (Experiment 1), although study time was not significantly affected by lecture fluency (Experiment 2). In both experiments, the fluent instructor was rated significantly higher than the disfluent instructor on traditional instructor evaluation questions, such as preparedness and effectiveness. However, in both experiments, lecture fluency did not significantly affect the amount of information learned. Thus, students’ perceptions of their own learning and an instructor’s effectiveness appear to be based on lecture fluency and not on actual learning.</p>
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		<title>Behavioural Economics Resources</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/14/behavioural-economics-resources/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 14 May 2013 07:45:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[behavioral economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[behavioural economics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I have created a new page here which is a resource page for Behavioural Economics (or its illiterate off-shoot Behavioral Economics ). Primarily for the benefit of my students, you may find it interesting or useful.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=kevindenny.wordpress.com&#038;blog=22156797&#038;post=1902&#038;subd=kevindenny&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have created a <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/behavioural-economics/">new page here</a> which is a resource page for <em>Behavioural Economics </em>(or its illiterate off-shoot<em> Behavioral Economics </em> <img src='http://s0.wp.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' />  ). Primarily for the benefit of my students, you may find it interesting or useful.</p>
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		<title>The Economics of Childbirth</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/13/the-economics-of-childbirth/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 13 May 2013 19:36:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[childbirth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[obstetrics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[A paper I co-authored with colleagues Michael Fahy, Orla Doyle, Fionnuala McAuliffe &#38; Michael Robson with the above title has been published in Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica, details here. This is part of a larger project that we have &#8230; <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/13/the-economics-of-childbirth/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=kevindenny.wordpress.com&#038;blog=22156797&#038;post=1883&#038;subd=kevindenny&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A paper I co-authored with colleagues Michael Fahy, Orla Doyle, Fionnuala McAuliffe &amp; Michael Robson with the above title has been published in <em>Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica</em>, details <a href="http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/aogs.12117/abstract">here</a>. This is part of a larger project that we have been working on.</p>
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		<title>World&#8217;s greatest brain scan</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/12/worlds-greatest-brain-scan/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 12 May 2013 18:25:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Humour]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fMRI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[homer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neuroscience]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[simpson]]></category>

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		<title>Mean, mode, median and all that</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/10/mean-mode-median-and-all-that/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 10 May 2013 11:44:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Maths, physics, nerdy stuff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[distributions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Leaving Certificate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mean]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[median]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mode]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/?p=1866</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A friend of mine is doing the Leaving Certificate this year and I was looking at a bound set of notes she was given, a book effectively, put together by a group of maths teachers who are going around giving &#8230; <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/10/mean-mode-median-and-all-that/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=kevindenny.wordpress.com&#038;blog=22156797&#038;post=1866&#038;subd=kevindenny&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A friend of mine is doing the Leaving Certificate this year and I was looking at a bound set of notes she was given, a book effectively, put together by a group of maths teachers who are going around giving intensive revisions sessions. I can&#8217;t remember their names alas.</p>
<p>The context to this is there is a new syllabus for mathematics, so-called <em>Project Mathematics</em>. There seems to be a certain amount of uncertainty and confusion around this new syllabus and these sessions are partly to address this gap. There all sorts of issues about this new syllabus, such as whether it amounts to dumbing down, but thats another day&#8217;s work.</p>
<p>The new syllabus has a lot of statistics so I was interested in that part of the material. I believe that statistical literacy is very important. After all, much of how we interpret the world is by reference to data &amp; there is lots more data about these days. Moreover, interpretation is far from easy and there are lots of fallacies about. The media is full of stories that, unwittingly or otherwise, are misleading about data.</p>
<p>The material being asked for in the syllabus looks pretty good to me although a lot of it is very applied and not pure mathematics. If our school leavers knew all that I would be very happy. Although I would not want it to be at the expense of core topics like calculus.  I was struck by two statements in this set of notes for students which are widely held to be true but are in fact false. I confess that while I knew one was false, the other surprised me.</p>
<p>One statement was that the mode is always between the median and the mean i.e. either median&gt;mode&gt;mean or mean&lt;mode&lt;median. This statement actually occurs in the well known text of <em>Kendall &amp; Stuart (The Advanced Theory of Statistics, vol 1)</em>. This is easily falsified by a distribution that looks like an &#8220;M&#8221;. The mean &amp; median coincide and the two modes lie to the left and right. Even for unimodal distributions however, these inequalities need not hold. These Leaving Certificate notes make some remark like &#8220;the mode always lies between the median and the mean, as you would expect, since it is the typical value&#8221;. This is nonsense and a smart student will be left wondering &#8220;What exactly is a typical value?&#8221; Mean, mode and median are all measures of central tendency and all have claims to being a &#8220;typical value&#8221; but really one needs to be more precise.</p>
<p>The second error, which I am guilty of too, is the statement that in a right (positively) skewed distribution the mean is greater than the median and in a left skewed one the reverse is true. Many statistics books hold this to be true &amp; certainly in a lot of the empirical distributions that economists work with (earnings for example) it seems to be the case. Although it is  common to find this to be the case empirically and it holds for some theoretical distributions, it is not true in general (i.e. as a rule). Note that failures of this statement to be true occur not just in contrived examples but can occur with, for example, the Weibull distribution.</p>
<p>A good overview of the relations between mean, mode and median can be found <a href="http://www.amstat.org/publications/jse/v13n2/vonhippel.html">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Research Post at UCD Geary Institute: Preparing for Life</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/08/research-post-at-ucd-geary-institute-preparing-for-life/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 15:37:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[early childhood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pfl]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RCT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[research jobs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/?p=1864</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Early Childhood Research team in the UCD Geary Institute is seeking applications from motivated individuals with an interest in child development and developmental psychology to become the Preparing for Life (PFL) Research Coordinator starting June 2013. The post is &#8230; <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/08/research-post-at-ucd-geary-institute-preparing-for-life/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=kevindenny.wordpress.com&#038;blog=22156797&#038;post=1864&#038;subd=kevindenny&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The <strong>Early Childhood Research</strong> team in the <strong>UCD Geary Institute</strong> is seeking applications from motivated individuals with an interest in child development and developmental psychology to become the <strong>Preparing for Life</strong> (PFL) Research Coordinator starting June 2013. The post is initially for 7 months and may be extended for 2 years. The salary scale is €33,950 &#8211; €41,500 per annum.  Candidates should have a PhD in psychology and experience working within and/or managing a research team and evidence of academic output.  <strong>Preparing for Life</strong> is a 5-year school readiness intervention operating in disadvantaged areas of North Dublin. The <strong>Geary</strong> team is conducting an impact and process evaluation to assess the overall effectiveness of this programme which works with parents from the beginning of pregnancy until their children start school. The impact evaluation is being conducted using a longitudinal experimental design and collects data on parents, the home environment, and child development outcomes from birth through age 5. As a researcher on this project, you will engage with an international and interdisciplinary research team including <strong>Nobel laureate Professor James Heckman</strong> and world leading developmental psychologist, <strong>Professor Richard Tremblay</strong>, to conduct one of the first studies of this nature in Ireland.</p>
<p>See <a title="pfl" href="http://geary.ucd.ie/preparingforlife/">here</a> for more information on <strong>Preparing For Life.</strong></p>
<p>The deadline for the post is <strong>May 19<sup>th</sup> </strong>and applications must be made through the UCD website <a href="http://www.ucd.ie/hr/jobvacancies/" target="_blank">http://www.ucd.ie/hr/jobvacancies/</a> (search for post number 005866).</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Progression to third level, early school leaving and fee vs. non-fee paying schools</title>
		<link>http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/07/progression-to-third-level-early-school-leaving-and-fee-vs-non-fee-paying-schools/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 07 May 2013 20:10:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kevin denny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[disadvantage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[higher education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[private]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[progression]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/?p=1860</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s not often that the first thing you hear when you turn the radio on in the morning is educational statistics. But such was the case today as the media here in Ireland headlined two statistical releases by the Department &#8230; <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2013/05/07/progression-to-third-level-early-school-leaving-and-fee-vs-non-fee-paying-schools/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=kevindenny.wordpress.com&#038;blog=22156797&#038;post=1860&#038;subd=kevindenny&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s not often that the first thing you hear when you turn the radio on in the morning is educational statistics. But such was the case today as the media here in Ireland headlined <a title="DoE" href="http://www.education.ie/en/Press-Events/Press-Releases/2013-Press-Releases/PR13-05-07.html">two statistical releases </a>by the Department of Education. The statistic that got the most attention is the differences in third level progression between those who went to fee- and non-fee-paying schools (often inaccurately referred to as private and public schools). As Table 2.2 of the <a href="http://www.education.ie/en/Publications/Statistics/School-Completers-What-Next-.pdf">relevant report</a> showed, 65.5% of those from fee-paying reports progress to <em>Higher Education</em> (I&#8217;m using this and <em>Third Level</em> as synonyms) while only 47.2% from non-fee-paying schools progress. Also striking is that only 24.2% from disadvantaged (&#8220;DEIS&#8221;) schools progress, less than half the figure for non-disadvanteged schools (49.1%). Curiously enough, fee-paying schools have a higher rate of early school leavers than schools in the &#8220;free scheme&#8221; (see Table 1.5 <a title="early" href="http://www.education.ie/en/Publications/Statistics/Early-Leavers-What-Next-.pdf">here)</a>.</p>
<p>My initial reaction on hearing the news was &#8220;So what?&#8221; The results are not at all surprising. That said, it is useful to have good up-to-date information on this and the Department of Education have gone to great lengths integrating a variety of data sources to pull together these numbers.</p>
<p>The obvious limitation of these numbers is that they are simple bivariate comparisons: they tell us nothing about what causes what and they cannot directly inform policy (nor do they claim to). But knowing these differences at least alerts us to possible problems with our educational system. One interesting question would be whether the fee/non-fee difference remains after one controls for socio-economic status (SES):  is it that the well-off progress more rather than than whether the school is free <em>per se</em>? It would also be useful to look at whether educational attainment (for example Leaving Certificate results) differ by school type. In 2011 <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2011/08/08/are-private-schools-better-than-public-schools-evidence-for-ireland/">I highlighted a paper </a>by two Israeli statisticians who looked at whether students in &#8220;private&#8221; schools did better using Irish PISA data. They find that selection (i.e. student &#8220;quality&#8221;) explains the difference and that &#8220;public&#8221; schools actually perform <em>better o</em>n average.</p>
<p>Let us hope that researchers are able to access publicly available data which allows us to tackle the really important questions: what<em> causes</em> these differences in educational differences across populations. Otherwise, it&#8217;s all a bit pointless, isn&#8217;t it?</p>
<p>I had a few other blog-posts on the subject <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2011/09/03/private-schools-are-they-worth-it/">here</a> and <a href="http://kevindenny.wordpress.com/2011/10/03/private-schools-are-they-worth-it-2/">here</a> if you are interested.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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